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Timor-Leste and Development Partners Meeting, Opening Statement, 3-5 December 2003

Excellency, Chairperson of the National Parliament
Excellency, Vice President of the World Bank, Mr. Jamil Kassun
Excellency, SRSG, Ambassador Sharma
Distinguished Ambassadors and Heads of the Diplomatic Missions
Representatives of our Development Partners
Fellow Members of the Government
Distinguished Deputies
Illustrious Participants
Ladies and Gentlemen

On the third of December 2002 we were amidst the pressure of finalising the arrangements of a meeting of this nature - Timor-Leste and Development Partners - and that of a restless political climate, culminating with the disturbances of 4 December. At that time, the disturbances and the consequent destruction did not move us from holding the meeting at the scheduled period. And we did it with success.

Today, one year later, we welcome you once more to our country, in a climate of clearer and more encouraging perspectives, based on stronger institutional foundations and solid principles. Thus, on behalf of the Government of the RDTL, of all the people of Timor-Leste and in my own name, I wish to welcome you to this fourth meeting in Dili, so that together we may make this reunion the most participative and productive it can be. I am confident that together we can achieve this.

In barely 18 months after taking over the reins of governance of the Timor-Leste, after UNTAET, the country has made considerable strides on different fronts. In particular, the building of a democratic state of law, developing institutions and human resources, consolidating the base of an efficient system of good governance, aiming for strong and participative institutions, an open life and culture, embodying a legitimately democratic and disciplinarian authority.

In this way we have further enhanced our dialogue with our people, encouraging and enabling them to participate actively in the development process.

The Open Governance carried out in the districts, sub-districts and some sucos is an important way of providing the people with information about the Government Plans and their execution, the defined priorities and their origins and reasons. We try to listen directly to the concerns of the people, ascertain their expectations so that actions may be initiated in order to meet their demands, without disfavouring the coherence of the National Development Plan. In order to follow-up on the action of the Open Governance, an inter-ministerial Commission was set up to develop longer works in each District, organising initiatives - establishing associations or cooperatives - of basic capacity building in areas such as management and production skills for the market, introducing new technologies, etc.

A follow-up technical group shall be set up to continue to provide the necessary assistance to the population in a more integrated fashion, i.e. involving the main activity sectors of the rural areas.

Assuming the inclusion policy as its motto, the Government seeks to develop other partnership mechanisms with the society in general. Still following the same policy, we have boosted and facilitated the establishment of a multi-stakeholder High Level Mechanism to bring forth pluralistic perspectives on current development concerns and evolve pragmatic options to address these.

Within the Government, which started from the debris of destruction, with limited structures and extremely low human resource capacity, we have tried during the last year and a half to prioritise the institutionalisation of the State. Thus we have

i. embarked on an ambitious legislative programme, adopting laws structuring the State, approving standards and setting up the necessary organisational structures for better implementation of the laws and execution of the programs;
ii. formulated sector plans, policies and strategies;
iii. adopted the Implementation Guide for the National Development Plan, the Matrixes; and
iv. adopted procedures and guidelines to improve implementation and controls over programme Budget execution.

Despite our progress, we still require more time and ongoing multi-sector and multidisciplinary assistance from our development partners, to consolidate the gains to ensure their sustainability.

Simultaneously, we have begun to build the capacities of our public service - both the civil service and the security forces. Together we have made significant progress. We have successfully completed some exciting phases of this long walk through the desert; we have launched the fundamental basis to make Timor-Leste another oasis of sustained development in this subregion of the World.


Defence and Security

On the security front, our National Police and Defence Forces (PNTL) are assuming increasing responsibilities as the strength of the UN Peacekeeping Forces and the UN Police is reduced. The National Police have assumed responsibility for policing in all districts except Dili, which should happen next week. On January 2004, UNPOL will transfer the National command to PNTL.

This is indeed a rapid transfer and I wish to commend our Defence Force and the National Police as well as the UN Peacekeeping Forces and the UN Police for this outstanding achievement. We recognise that our national security forces are still very young and inexperienced. They need continued training and technical assistance to strengthen their skills and gain the confidence of the people, as well as material support to enhance their performance. I also recognise that the security throughout most of the country has been maintained by our services, with the assistance of UNPOL.
However, it is important not to get carried away by an arms trend or even a militaristic trend regarding security and forget that development is the best instrument in preventively fighting insecurity and conflicts between groups, regions or even international ones.

Preventive Development

As you may be aware, the heavy equipment used by the UN Peacekeeping Forces damaged some of the roads through the country, but mostly in the border Districts. The development of these areas has been hitherto neglected, despite the fact they are considered zones of major military influence. In order to correct this delay we will formulate a Special Preventive Development Plan or SPDP for the border Districts of Covalima, Bobonaro, Oecusse and parts of Ermera and Ainaro. The SPDP will focus on the twin areas of enhancing security and promoting development in the risk-prone areas. For this it will be necessary to rehabilitate the damaged infrastructure, thus rendering easier the movement of goods and people, it will also make the people feel less vulnerable to external forces and threats, give them improved access to the markets.

The SPDP shall also favour the component of community development, so as to improve the living conditions of the populations. The intention is for the SPDP to be constituted into an integrated development plan and into a pilot initiative reconciling the immediate creation of jobs and the intensive use of manpower with the development of the local capacities and institutions, targeting the sustainability of the programs and the gradual decentralisation of administration. We hope that you fully support this initiative which we intend to present in our next meeting.

Justice and Development
Justice is the sector that needs the most assistance for its structures, capacity building and to make it consistent with the rule of law and a democratic state. The issue of language as a communication instrument is one of the many issues that make the interpretation and application of the law difficult.

The development of the training programme for interpreters and translators beginning in January 2004 and the programme for training Magistrates and their necessary evaluation, will surely contribute to better performance in this sector.

Legislative Measures

We have made considerable progress on the legislative package for creating the enabling environment for attracting investment and promoting the private sector. Also, we are initiating the preparation of legislation on fisheries and tourism, as well as the legal regime for resource exploration in our exclusive economic zone, in the territorial sea and to explore hydrocarbons and other minerals on-shore.

Soon after the meeting with Development Partners in June, we finalised arrangements with ConocoPhillips and the Australian Government to permit the Bayu-Undan gas development in the Timor Sea to go ahead. The negotiations were delicate and difficult, especially for us with limited experience in these areas. Nevertheless, we believe the agreement delivers real value to the Timorese people. The National Parliament passed the Bayu-Undan tax legislation that is consistent with international standards. We are proud of what we have achieved. The Bayu-Undan development is expected to deliver three billion dollars to our country over its 20-year production life.

I should emphasise that the Bayu-Undan field will not yield significant revenues until after FY2007-08. Even then, it will not provide enough income or surplus to allow us to save sufficient sums for the benefit of future generations. This is one of the reasons why the delimitation of permanent maritime boundaries in the Timor Sea is an urgent priority of my Government.

If Timor-Leste and Australia are able to agree on permanent maritime boundaries that are consistent with international law, we shall set up a stable and attractive environment for the investors. This way, all our sea resources may be explored so as to better serve our people.

In order to protect Timor-Leste from the large fluctuations in petroleum revenues, and utilise the Timor Sea revenues to benefit present and future generations, the Government proposes to establish a Petroleum Fund. Surveys have already been commissioned to different institutions, with the version presented by the IMF being the most significant.


Private Sector

Still in order to attract investors, we have initiated steps to establish industrial parks. Also, we are in the process of finalising a tourism venture around the "Areia Branca" beach area, in Dili, and in Com, in the Lautem District.

In the context of the private sector development, many cooperatives were established. This was a significant increase compared with last year - around 77 - the majority of which are credit unions and coffee cooperatives. They cover an area that goes into the districts and sub-districts, providing critical intermediation services such as credit and marketing.

In the power sector, surveys and explorations for on-shore gas and oil are being initiated, with the assistance from China Oils.

We have signed a Management Contract with CEM (Companhia de Electricidade de Macau/Power Company of Macau) to manage EDTL for a period of three years. We expect that the performance of the power sector will improve considerably in the coming months. Meanwhile, measures like cuts and rationalisation in distribution have already been carried out, following my clear instructions of never going beyond the level of daily consumption of fuel foreseen and financed by the current Budget. Initiatives have already been carried out in order to explore new sources of energy production, such as water, the sun and the wind.

The initiatives under the first Small Enterprise Development project funded through TFET have been encouraging. With the direct involvement of the Government in the project management, the levels of repayment of debts have increased, and further effort to collect the overdue loans are being made.

The micro-finance schemes in the country have been relatively successful in reaching out to small entrepreneurs, with the Micro-Finance Institution collecting savings approaching a million dollars.

Within the scope of the stability program we have included the RESPECT project, which, up to the present time, despite being still at the stage of institutional development of its regional capacities, has started to produce positive impacts on the rural community. Allow me to express here the full commitment of the Government towards this project, and to ask of all the Development Partners to let go of their doubts, in order to contribute to it.

It is also with pleasure that we may say that in the formal financial sector, total bank deposits have reached about 90 million dollars, with private deposits accounting for about two-thirds of the total. Bank lending to the private sector, especially to business enterprises, has increased to around 13 million dollars or about 22 per cent of private bank deposits by the end of September 2003.

Aiming for a better control of the revenue collection services, we have recently started the Automatic System of Customs Data Management, or ASYCUDA. With this we intend to prevent fiscal evasion and fraud, as well as to increase considerably the collection of revenues at customs.


Internal Audit

During the past year, the Inspector-General has investigated at my request and that of other institutions, numerous allegations of irregularities. Between the situations he investigated, there are at least two cases pointing to practises of a criminal nature, referred to the Attorney General to be handled by the competency of the courts.


Human Resources Development

Concerning the recruitment of staff, we are close to reaching the number of twelve thousand. Some senior positions remain unfilled due to the need and the difficulty in finding qualified candidates. The draft Civil Service Act has been approved by the Council of Ministers and will soon be sent to the Parliament for consideration and approval.

The capacity of the civil service has been improving gradually, although not as fast as we have hoped for. Many of the staff members are starting from a very low knowledge base and with very limited experience. The organisational structures, systems and procedures are still being evolved and consolidated.

The UN assessed contribution for the 100 posts administered by UNMISET, of which only 82 have been filled, and most of these recently (third quarter of this year) and the bilateral assistance for the 200 Development Advisers project administered by the UNDP, and other advisers and consultants provided by our Development Partners have been valuable in strengthening the capacities of our civil staff.

Since capacity building is an integral part of the institutional development, we have already started the procedure to formulate capacity building strategies to deal with our countries' requirements in the short, medium and long terms. We have invited our Development Partners to assist us in this exercise, in a spirit of true partnership.

As I indicated at the last Meeting in June, my Government recognises service delivery to meet the immediate needs of our people, including security, to be a high priority. About a third of the State Budget is allocated to service provision in education and health, with a fifth devoted to security. Also, Education, Health, Agriculture and Infrastructure receive the largest shares of the combined sources budget.

We have continued to prepare and implement the Annual Action Plans and monitor progress through quarterly monitoring reports. The Annual Action Plans are nothing more than the annual execution of the National Development Plan. We have also initiated the preparation of the second National Human Development Report, whose main focus will be to evolve options to adapt the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) to the situation of Timor-Leste and reconcile the National Development Plan objectives with the MDGs.

Building upon the draft Road Map, and based on discussions with several Development Partners in June 2003, we have prepared sector expenditure packages (SEPs) for a few sectors:
Education and Training;
Healthcare;
Agriculture and Livestock;
Natural Resources and the Environment;
Communications;
Power;
Transport;
Water Supply and Sanitation; and
Private Sector Development.

The draft SEPs have been presented to the representatives of Development Partners in Dili by the concerned Ministers and preliminary discussions with them took place during the past two weeks. In tomorrow's Meeting brief presentations on the SEPs will be made. We plan to continue the discussions on the SEPs with you during the next four months, with the objective of reaching a broad agreement on the SEPs including the funding arrangements in time for us to be able to set up the bases for achieving agreement at the next Annual Meeting with Development Partners in June 2004.

Budget execution during the last fiscal year has improved over the preceding year, both on the revenue and expenditure aspects. The pattern has continued in the first quarter of the current fiscal year. In drawing up the budget for the current fiscal year in June, we were already concerned about how to bridge the fiscal gap of more than $70 million in the medium term. The outlook deteriorated by September, when we received the disturbing news that the projected flow of significant revenues from the Timor Sea oil and gas is being delayed. This has resulted in almost a doubling of the fiscal deficit in the CFET budget over the next four years, beginning with the current year.

It has come to our attention that in a few instances, the civil servants have been trying to short-circuit the existing financial and procurement systems. In light of the above developments and to ensure a sound management of scarce available resources, I have instructed our Ministers, Vice Ministers and Secretaries of State in mid-October to take over the control of their respective departments, with a greater focus on expenditure procedures. The measures already taken in this regard also include:

1. The successful enforcement of the state vehicle access and usage policy since the beginning of this year;
2. Consideration of strategies for rationalising the vehicle fleet, within the context of the UNMISET asset hand-over, including the possible disposal of vehicles that are not required. We are considering the creation of a Public Entity for the management of state assets, including allowing the leasing of the vehicles;
3. Establishment of a joint UN / Government committee to manage UNMISET asset hand over, including assessment of Government needs and priorities and identification of all recurrent costs. The committee's report to the Council of Ministers has been received just this week; and
4. Blocking access to the Timor Telecom's network of cell phones which have spent beyond the established limit and blocking access to international calls or to calls made from land lines to cell phones in many of the fixed phones that belong to the public services.


The lower Timor Sea revenues have widened the overall CFET budget deficit in the current fiscal year to around $10 million. However, in the context of the recent Mid-Year Budget Update exercise, we have taken measures to contain the CFET expenditures and realise cuts or savings amounting to about $4.5million dollars. The measures include stringent guidelines on use of official telephones and cars and curtailment of non-essential domestic and international travels. These cuts or savings will not affect allocations to the priority service areas of education and health, which are protected. In addition, the anticipated donor assistance under the Transition Support Program is likely to be higher largely due to the depreciation of the US dollar. These and some modest drawdowns from the accumulated CFET savings or balances from previous years will be adequate to eliminate the CFET budget deficit during the current fiscal year. We are doing our part to control expenditures and balance the budget. We ask of you, our Development Partners, to help us with rationalisation of the allocations and expenditures in the combined sources budget to ensure that the delivery of essential services to our people will not suffer.

For a better coordination in budgetary execution, a budget execution Monitoring Office shall be set up to perform its activity across different sectors, under the direct dependence from the Prime Minister.

Further, the Ministries and Secretaries of State must present to the Prime Minister up to December the plans regarding the execution of the Capital Fund budget. The goal is to discipline and guide the budget execution, drawing experiences on the capacity of each agency, thus serving as a basis for the drafting of the budget for the next fiscal year.

It should also be made clear that executing the budget does not mean the act of spending alone. It is imperative that the expenses are translated into service delivery to the public.

Looking ahead, the downward revisions to the Timor Sea oil and gas revenue estimates increases the CFET financing requirement over the next three fiscal years (FY2004-05 to 2006-07) from about $79 million to $133 million. A number of potential options have been identified to meet the emerging CFET budget deficit. The options include:

1. An increase in budgetary support in the next fiscal year (FY2004-05), which is the final year of the ongoing three-year TSP, to meet at least half or about ten million dollars of the about 20 million dollar deficit, with the Government meeting the remainder through improved efficiency in expenditures, and revenue measures including asset sales; and continuation of budgetary support under TSP-like arrangements for the subsequent two fiscal years (that is FY2005-06 and FY2006-07) at roughly the same level as in the next fiscal year;
2. Redirecting, as far as possible, bilateral and multilateral funds towards priority programs;
3. Raising additional domestic revenue, although the scope for any significant expansion in domestic revenue generation is limited given the low income and tax base;
4. Raising additional revenue through asset sales, including intangible assets owned by the Government and other goods, equipment and supplies that are not essential for the Government's operations;
5. Constraining growth in CFET expenditures, through increased focus on consolidating and improving existing services with any additional funding directed to the highest priority areas in-line with the priorities in the National Development Plan and the Road Map. However, constraining CFET expenditure may have significant deleterious impact on the effectiveness of complementary development expenditures by bilateral donors off-CFET, in the combined sources budget. Also, it is likely to impact negatively on the economy;
6. Utilisation of a portion of the accumulated Timor Sea First Tranche Petroleum (FTP) royalties, which will require first the establishment of the Petroleum Fund for management of Timor Sea revenues, including the enactment of necessary legislation, with any change in the FTP savings policy and regulations, procedures and safeguards governing the utilisation of the savings forming an integral part of the legislation.
7. Drawing up a feasibility study, already requested to the World Bank, to examine the pros and cons of borrowing from the concessional windows.

There may be other options that we are not aware of. We recognise that a combination of options will be required to fill the medium-term budgetary gaps. We wish to explore the options in full consultation with you, our Development Partners, during the coming months.

The Minister of Planning and Finance will provide details on the fiscal developments in her presentation to the Meeting tomorrow.

In conclusion, let me express the gratitude of our people and the Government for your support during the past four years. I would also like to reiterate our desire to continue to work closely with you. In this way we shall move forward, assured that we will tread successfully through the great avenues of sustainable development.

Thank you.

 

 

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